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Move-up buyers, extended/expanded tax credits boost home sales;

Posted on December 10, 2009
 

News from NW Multiple Listing Service

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: December 3, 2009

Move-up buyers, extended/expanded tax credits boost home sales;
Northwest MLS brokers expect momentum to continue in 2010

KIRKLAND, WA, December 3, 2009 � Home sales continued to outperform year-ago totals and prices continued to show signs of stabilizing, according to the latest report from Northwest Multiple Listing Service. Brokers credit move-up buyers as one factor for the positive activity.
"This winter will not be 'business as usual' for the housing market," proclaimed the CEO of one brokerage while expressing optimism for 2010.

Pending sales for November tapered off from October's surge during the rush to beat a looming tax credit deadline, but compared to November 2008, home sales jumped more than 31 percent. Members notched 4,888 pending sales (mutual acceptance of an offer) last month, which compares to 3,727 pendings for the same period a year ago.

Pat Grimm, a member of the NWMLS board of directors, said the strength of the first-time buyer market is no surprise. "What has been surprising is the strength in the move-up market," he remarked. First-time buyers led the market recovery, according to Grimm, the designated broker at Windermere RE/Capitol Hill, Inc. "Move-up buyers have definitely picked up the baton," he exclaimed.

Closed sales of single family homes and condominiums (combined) for November outgained year-ago totals by an impressive 76 percent, rising from 2,937 completed transactions to 5,168 closings across the NWMLS service area. Last month's total number of closings (5,168) exceeded the number of pending sales (4,888), a ratio that had not occurred since October 2008.

The median sales price area-wide was down about 7 percent from a year ago, the lowest percentage decline all year. Prices had been off every month this year by double digits until June (down 9.5 percent) and August (down about 8.8 percent), but for past three months the decline has been under 7.5 percent.

Grimm described the market within Seattle as "strong," noting stable prices during much of the year and a brisk pace of activity. "The shift was made away from a buyer's market early this year into a balanced market, and in some areas close to the city core, it's a seller's market," he commented.

Inventory for the MLS map areas encompassing Seattle is down more than 16 percent from a year ago, while pending sales jumped about 33 percent. For single family homes (excluding condos) within the Seattle map areas, inventory declined 20.6 percent from a year ago. The median selling price of $399,995 is 3.6 percent less than twelve months ago.

Inventory area-wide is at its lowest level in nearly two years. At the end of November, brokers reported 36,266 active listings (30,084 single family homes and 6,182 condominiums) across the NWMLS market area. That's down from 43,584 active listings in the system twelve months ago, a drop of nearly 17 percent. Not since January 2008, when brokers represented 34,950 home sellers, has inventory been that low.

"This winter will not be 'business as usual' for the housing market," said Lennox Scott, chairman and CEO of John L. Scott Real Estate. "Thanks to historically low interest rates, adjusted home prices, and the passage of the extended/expanded tax credit, we are getting a running start on the New Year," he added.

(Last month, Congress passed new legislation that extends the first-time home buyer tax credit of up to $8,000 to buyers who purchase by April 30, 2010. The legislation also authorized a tax credit of up to $6,500 for qualified repeat home buyers.)

Holidays can be favorable time to buy, sell
Although seasonal slowdowns are typical for housing activity, industry experts say now can be a good time for both sellers and buyers. Buyers tend to encounter less competition for the most desirable homes. Also, qualified buyers can expect above-normal attention from service providers who are experiencing a slowdown in their business, including lenders, home inspectors, appraisers and title companies. Lenders may even be willing to extend very favorable mortgage terms or forgo some fees as they vie for business.

Agents are able to devote more time to clients and the smaller selection of homes on the market. Sellers can also benefit from showcasing their homes with tasteful holiday decorations, although home stagers caution them to show restraint and not overdo the décor.

Other advantages may be faster closings by lenders who are motivated to add transactions to their 2009 books, and tax deductions.

Northwest Multiple Listing Service, owned by its member brokers, is the largest full-service MLS in the Northwest. Its membership includes more than 24,000 brokers and agents. The organization, based in Kirkland, currently serves 20 counties in western and central Washington. Ferry County is now part of Northwest MLS, becoming the 20th county included in the monthly statistical reports.

Statistical Summary by Counties: Market Activity Summary - November 2009

November 2009
Single
Family
Homes
+ Condos

LISTINGS

PENDING
SALES

CLOSED SALES

New
Listings

Total
Active

#Pending
Sales

# Closings

Average
Price

Median
Price

King

2571
11474
1984
2025
$415,581
$337,000

Snohomish

1128
5063
787
803
$294,649
$274,950

Pierce

1120
5471
840
802
$247,899
$222,000

Kitsap

328
1719
218
267
$273,771
$239,995

Mason

72
678
61
55
$187,179
$175,000

Skagit

146
1228
88
121
$236,525
$207,500

Grays
Harbor

149
758
75
73
$159,859
$139,000

Lewis

84
742
43
36
$176,312
$162,400

Cowlitz

101
663
50
84
$173,687
$161,000

Grant

70
664
39
63
$174,257
$152,000

Thurston

328
1668
222
277
$251,349
$225,000

San Juan

24
441
10
15
$470,660
$377,000

Island

143
1036
83
89
$285,988
$240,000

Kittitas

65
511
32
37
$256,025
$230,000

Jefferson

33
532
13
27
$333,793
$271,000

Okanogan

21
352
23
15
$181,827
$150,000

Whatcom

228
1687
195
235
$290,344
$240,250

Clark

48
285
42
59
$259,011
$225,000

Pacific

34
362
19
19
$141,688
$139,000
Ferry
1
49
1
2
$185,825
$185,825

Others

107
883
63
64
$206,682
$187,450
MLS TOTAL
6,801
36,266
4,888
5,168
$320,379
$265,000

4-County Puget Sound Region Pending Sales (SFH + Condo combined)
(Totals include King, Snohomish, Pierce & Kitsap counties)

 

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

2000

3706

4778

5903

5116

5490

5079

4928

5432

4569

4675

4126

3166

2001

4334

5056

5722

5399

5631

5568

5434

5544

4040

4387

4155

3430

2002

4293

4735

5569

5436

6131

5212

5525

6215

5394

5777

4966

4153

2003

4746

5290

6889

6837

7148

7202

7673

7135

6698

6552

4904

4454

2004

4521

6284

8073

7910

7888

8186

7583

7464

6984

6761

6228

5195

2005

5426

6833

8801

8420

8610

8896

8207

8784

7561

7157

6188

4837

2006

5275

6032

8174

7651

8411

8094

7121

7692

6216

6403

5292

4346

2007

4869

6239

7192

6974

7311

6876

6371

5580

4153

4447

3896

2975

2008

3291

4167

4520

4624

4526

4765

4580

4584

4445

3346 2841 2432
2009 3250 3407 4262 5372 5498 5963 5551 5764 5825 5702 3829  

__________
Copyright © 2009
ALL RIGHTS RESERVED
This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed without prior permission.

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Larry Miller | Direct 425-681-7535 | Email: lmiller@windermere.com | Website: www.Larry-Miller.com
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